Duquesne
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 73.1057Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 6-16 214 H Mount St Marys Metro Atlan (10- 7, 81.6) 13-19 218 A Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 12-13 225 A Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 21- 4 301 A Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 11-16 308 A St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-25 314 H Davidson Atlantic 10 (15- 5, 84.6) 10-20 318 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 9-14 321 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 14-16 328 H Rhode Island Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 78.5) 8-15 404 A VCU Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 83.2) 6-19 408 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 11-13 411 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 8 418 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 79.9) 8-19 425 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 4, 90.0) 6-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 A Akron 6-16 -10 -9 -1.35
214 H Mount St Marys 13-19 -6 -7 1.17
218 A Robert Morris 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.71
225 A Mercyhurst 21- 4 17 5 +++ 9.43
301 A Butler 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.68
308 A St Josephs (PA) 9-25 -16 -12 - -2.13
314 H Davidson 10-20 -10 -10 0.11
318 A St Bonaventure 9-14 -5 -11 ++ 5.66
321 H George Mason 14-16 -2 -2 -0.50
328 H Rhode Island 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.02
404 A VCU 6-19 -13 -11 -1.54
408 H Youngstown State 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.19
411 H La Salle 10- 8 2 3 -0.84
418 A George Washington 8-19 -11 -8 - -2.83
425 H Richmond 6-21 -15 -15 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H Youngstown State 11-13 -2 2 -- -4.19 301 A Butler 11-16 -5 -2 - -2.68 308 A St Josephs (PA) 9-25 -16 -12 - -2.13 328 H Rhode Island 8-15 -7 -4 - -3.02 418 A George Washington 8-19 -11 -8 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Mercyhurst 21- 4 17 5 +++ 9.43 318 A St Bonaventure 9-14 -5 -11 ++ 5.66 218 A Robert Morris 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 6-16 -19.51 20.66 1.37 1.15 -10.48
3 H Mount St Marys (10- 7, 81.6) 13-19 -18.26 21.91 -1.37 1.15 -11.33
3 A Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 12-13 -24.46 15.71 1.37 1.15 -13.33
3 A Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 21- 4 -32.73 7.44 1.37 1.15 20.34
3 A Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 11-16 -25.84 14.33 1.37 1.15 -14.13
3 A St Josephs (PA ( 7-10, 83.6) 9-25 -16.29 23.88 1.37 1.15 -8.62
3 H Davidson (15- 5, 84.6) 10-20 -15.32 24.85 -1.37 1.15 -9.64
3 A St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 9-14 -17.51 22.66 1.37 1.15 -9.32
3 H George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 14-16 -23.93 16.24 -1.37 1.15 -14.61
3 H Rhode Island ( 6-10, 78.5) 8-15 -21.45 18.72 -1.37 1.15 -13.17
3 A VCU (13- 5, 83.2) 6-19 -16.70 23.47 1.37 1.15 -8.85
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 11-13 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 1.15 -16.74
3 H La Salle ( 3-14, 71.6) 10- 8 -28.27 11.90 -1.37 1.15 24.33
3 A George Washing ( 9- 8, 79.9) 8-19 -19.99 20.17 1.37 1.15 -10.76
3 H Richmond (13- 4, 90.0) 6-21 -9.93 30.24 -1.37 1.15 -6.52
------
-102.82
|
winning pts = 44.6687 losing points = -147.4903
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------